Crown Green HandicapFairPlay Bowls
Live
Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
Back to Players
Crown Green Handicap

Keith Fraser

Team: Cammell LairdDivision: Division BLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

863

Current Handicap

9
Honours
Season:

34

Matches Played

13

Wins

21

Losses

38%

Win Rate

8.1

Avg Win Margin

8.1

Avg Loss Margin

8-8

Home Record

5-13

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
34 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/22/2017

A large recent sample: 34 matches in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 33-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins13/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 34 matches

+9 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

31 May7 Jul27 Jul9 Aug18 May13 Jul3 Aug22 Aug-12510

Gives 9 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(35%)
38%
score-0.24→contribution-0.08
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
8.1
score+0.01→contribution+0.00
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.1
score-0.02→contribution-0.00
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
40%
score-0.20→contribution-0.02
Opponent Strength(15%)
926
score-0.32→contribution-0.05
Weighted Score-0.155
Sample Size Confidence
100%(34/33 matches)
Rating938 → shrunk 938→ adjusted 863
Handicap
9

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

13W21L34 matches·38.2% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Cammell Laird2016–2017Division B34132138.2%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/22/2017Brian CrosbieA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision B
8/17/2017Brian MakinsonH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision B
8/15/2017Eddie ThomasA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision B
8/10/2017Albert SmithH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision B
8/8/2017vs Bromborough RecsH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision B
8/3/2017Nobby HughesA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision B
8/1/2017Keith ChristianH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision B
7/25/2017Jean PepperA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision B
7/24/2017vs Hoylake Central & MelroseA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision B
7/13/2017Colin GouldingA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision B
6/22/2017Derek EdwardsA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision B
6/15/2017Nobby HughesH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision B
6/7/2017vs Tixall CA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision B
5/25/2017Jean ClarkH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision B
5/18/2017Steve DutfieldA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision B
5/16/2017David GoreH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision B
5/11/2017Robbie DeanA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision B
8/24/2016vs Bromborough PoolH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision B
8/15/2016Eric BellA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision B
8/9/2016Derek WigfieldA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision B
8/4/2016Kevin CostallH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision B
8/2/2016Ronnie JonesH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision B
7/28/2016Ian NorrisA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision B
7/27/2016Peter SleemanH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision B
7/26/2016Tony ThelwellH5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision B
7/21/2016Robert BowersH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision B
7/19/2016Margaret CafferyA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision B
7/7/2016Derek MycockH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision B
6/30/2016Jim IvanoffA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision B
6/23/2016Ken HoltH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision B
6/2/2016Lynn RannardH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision B
5/31/2016Andy PritchardA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision B
5/17/2016Billy CottamA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision B
4/26/2016Connor BoydA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision B
Leverhulme Cup5 games · 3W
20172 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundPaul QuinlanTixall B21-11WINWON
Round of 16 RoundBrian KenyonParkfield21-16WINWON
20163 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundRobbie DeanArno Cl7-21LOSSWON
Round of 16 RoundBrian CrosbieBromborough Recs21-14WINWON
Semi Final RoundRobbie HallTixall10-21LOSSLOST
Andy Dawson Cup3 games · 1W
20172 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundNobby ClarkPensby B21-19WINWON
Quarters RoundJoe WoodcockTixall C14-21LOSSWON
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Final RoundBarry BawdenOxton Cons B15-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

3

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

4

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LWLLW
Last 1040% win rate— steady
LWLLWWWLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Nobby Hughes202100%8/3/2017
Brian Crosbie0110%8/22/2017
Brian Makinson101100%8/17/2017
Eddie Thomas0110%8/15/2017
Albert Smith0110%8/10/2017
Bromborough Recs101100%8/8/2017
Keith Christian101100%8/1/2017
Jean Pepper0110%7/25/2017
Hoylake Central & Melrose0110%7/24/2017
Colin Goulding0110%7/13/2017
Biggest Win
Nobby Hughes (+13)6/15/2017
Heaviest Defeat
Brian Crosbie (-16)8/22/2017
Best Season
201741% · 17 matches
Worst Season
201635% · 17 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
35% → 41%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
90025 known · 9 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-40% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
8-1338% win rate
Division B38.2%
13W·21L·34 played

Debut

Apr 26, 2016

Latest

Aug 22, 2017

Seasons Active

2 (1.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

17.0 (34 total)

Seasons

20162017